Statistical Analysis Of Criminal Offences Recorded

 

Abstract

 

Statistics is playing an important part in nearly all aspect of mortal life. This part is used to dissect a design, which is aimed at assaying the rate of crime in Kuje- Abuja. This analysis is meant for correction, up- courting, vaticinating the unborn agreement events. The objects of the design are the felonious offences in Kuje. The design comprises of five chapters; chapter one, contains the preface of the design and the literal background of Kuje Police Station also the points and objects of the design. Chapter two contains the literature review and the literature review is applicable to the design content. Also, in same chapter two, the statistical tools used will be bandied, with necessary information on orders of crimes, chapter three, focus on the methodology and data donation that’s system of data collection and also source of data and problem encountered during collection of data. Chapter four is grounded on analysis data collected achieving the points set in1.3 chapter under general points and specific objects and also applying the statistical tools applicable to the design content. Chapter five, its including findings, conclusion and recommendation, bibliography of what have been agitating in the whole design. Eventually, I hope that Nuhu Bamalli Polytechnic library, department of Mathematics and Statistics library and also all the members of the institute will have commodity to comprehend and learn out of this design, commodity useful to read as a source of data and alleviation.

 

 

 

Chapter One

 

Preface

 

The adding desire of the government and civilization to ameliorate the conservation of law and order and to engage in crime forestallment, has led to the hunt for data on all aspect of crime. This will enable the government to know whether crime is adding or dwindling.

 

Crime in a normal sense is an act or offence which is punishable by law. Crime is a term used to describe any act that breaks a society. Some exemplifications of crimes are thievery, hijacking , violating, theftetc.

 

thus, anyone that violet the law should be arrested, tried and incontinently doomed to some time in captivity if and only if set up shamefaced. The captivity is where culprits are supposed to be reformed and learn to observe the rules and regulation set down or order to govern the society duly.

 

Despite the sweats of security agencies to check crime in our society, the rate of crime is adding at intimidating rate. This indeed has been the common practice in the society especially within the youths. numerous measures had been taken to annihilate this abnormal geste from our society, nonetheless, the condition still remain the same as this felonious cases do day in day out in the society.

 

Captivity is a place where people who are condemned by the law court are being kept to await trial. It’s a house erected by the government in order to detain anybody who goes against the law.

 

Bracket Of Crime

 

Crime can be classified in numerous ways, but some of them are

 

1. Crime against people This include rape, hijacking , murder( homicide), thievery etc, similar crimes generally carries severe discipline.

 

2. Crime against property machine, fraud, phony , vandalization and thievery. In utmost cases these crimes may carry advanced penalties than crime against people.

 

3. Crime against public and morality order This include unruly conduct, gambling, harlotry, public drunkenness etc

 

These offences generally involve bigger penalties.

 

Causes Of Crime

 

Crimes are caused by numerous factors. Criminologist in their studies enumerated the causes of crime as cerebral, sociological and heredity etc. While to the captivity officers, crime is regarded as a mortal response to his terrain, for illustration, some crimes are caused by the following factor

 

1. Economy This is a good cause of crime in our country, Nigeria. Without employment numerous had bat the city and in consequence the devil offers them employment in crimes especially property crimes.

 

2. After- War- Effect After the civil war, numerous youths who have been trained in the use of arms were left jobless as a result of that crime and violence increase. The drift from the pastoral to civic areas and the corresponding severance brought about frustration and with the attendant poverty, pauperism and lack of the barest necessity of life, the youths resort to crime and this appears to be economic.

 

3. Political Conditioning Due to the political childhood of the millions in the Nigeria scene, political juggernauts and choices are regrettably atrocious. Crimes similar as murder, sacking, corruption and rioting amongst others were among the factors the encouraged felonious conditioning in our society.

 

In utmost cases, the law enforcement agencies are unable of action especially when the rich or influential politicians are concerned or when the political party in power is concerned associated with this also are embezzlement of public finances through contracts, nepotism and corruption in distribution of public services and boons. These are notorious acts.

 

Forestallment Of Crime

 

1. retaliation This means severe discipline for any wrong conduct. No doubt this objects governs the minds of the Nigeria courts and indeed the public. When one is being doomed to captivity, section 4( 1) of captivity Decree 1972( decree 9) stated that “ subject to this section, the effect of judgment of imprisonment is with hard labour passed upon a captivity shall be that the internee shall be locked for the period of the judgment and during his imprisonment shall work at similar labour as may be directed by the superintendant ”. This law thus emphasized the perforation aspect.

 

2. Deterrence This can also be seen as consequence or discipline set away by the government in order to serve as a assignment to determine both the internee and the public at large.

 

Captivity

 

According to the Oxford Advanced Learner’s Dictionary, a captivity is “ a structure where people are kept as a discipline for a crime they’ve committed.

 

Types Of Captivity

 

1. Convict Prison This captivity receives all cases of captures i.e. long and short judgment , condemned culprits and those of reviewetc.

 

2. Divisional or parochial captivity It receives the cases of anybody doomed under 12 times. The long term captures that may be set up in this captivity are those of special arrangement.E.g. structure, carpentry, bricklayers after which they must be returned to the con captivity.

 

3. Central captivity Central captivity is a captivity that governs all other captivity conditioning in a given division and it’s headed by the regulator general of captivity.

 

4. Captivity camp Used to keep internee to learn chops similar as carpentry, acclimatizing bricklaying, music etc

 

literal BACKGROUND OF STUDY

 

The Nigeria Police Force had its origin in time 1861. The consul at that time complained that he’d multitudinous duties among those of the police trust on him and in 1861 authorization was sought from the British consular guard of 30 men. This was so named because the representative of the British government was John Becroft. Two times latterly in 1863, this small guard was renamed “ Hausa Police ” conforming of 600 men because of the investiture into it of some captured raw slave at Jebba by it. WorerR.N. in 1879 the Hausa Police was farther enlarged by the reclamation of further men substantially from the Hausa and was named Hausa fuzz. It also comported of 1200 officers and commanded by an Inspector- General of police. Duty was substantially military in character. Although the men were anticipated to perform some civil duties one of similar military duties was the provision of detachment of 8 officers and 251 men for the Arochukwu.

 

On January 1st 1896, the Lagos Police Force was created like the Hansa fuzz. This was the arm. It comported of a manager, two Assistant Officers, a supervisor and quarter master, and 250 other species. This force operated substantially in Lagos area, while the constabulary operated in the north, the operative department was formed in 1898 and comported of one supervisor and 14 other species from this grew our present felonious Investigation Department( CID).

 

Nigeria came a civil democracy on October 1st 1963. The force continued to be administered on a civil bases as legislated in the Republican Constitution. The Divisional Police Station in Kuje Area was established on the 15th August, 1985, as police station is known, utmost of its functions are to take charge of felonious offences.

 

still, some of the analysis on felonious offenses recorded in Kuje Divisional Police Station between the time 1999 – 2007 includes house breaking, theft, fortified thievery, bribery and corruption rapeetc.

 

Compass And Content

 

 

 

Felonious statistics data is the collection of data within an area over a period of time, illustration daily, daily, monthly etc. It’s important in the sense that the data used in this design is a felonious data collected from the Kuje Police Headquarters on the record of felonious offenses recorded from 1999 – 2007.

 

General And Specific Objects

 

 

 

The general end of this study is to estimate the rate of crime and use it to read the unborn condition.

 

1. To estimate the model concerning crime rate

 

2. To test the normalcy of the model( using normal probability plot) in order to see if the data can be used for the analysis

 

3. To read the unborn cases of crime using time series model

 

4. To suggest the possible means of eradicating crime.

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